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Logical Reasoning · Weaken

PrepTest 131 · Section 3 · Question 13

Phase 1 (your first ~400 questions): read the guidance, then answer. No clock.

Step 1 · Pre-Question Guidance · read this first

Question type
Weaken
The one idea it tests
A rate measured only among those who already had a mishap does not show the overall risk; if one group has far more mishaps, its overall risk may be higher.
The basic logic
Notice the sample: everyone in it already had the bad event. The conclusion talks about safety in general. Pop the argument by showing the 'safe-looking' group has the bad event much more often.
Tiny words that decide it
  • “percentage”
  • “of those”
  • “thus”

Playground logic

Marcus's patty: among kids who fell at recess, few dome climbers got scraped, but lots of slide kids got scraped. His top bun: you are less likely to get scraped on the dome. The pin that pops it: dome kids fall far more often in the first place.

Step 2 · The kid story

The Dome of Safety?

Nurse Kim kept a list of every kid who fell at recess this year. Marcus studied it like a detective. "Look! Of the kids who fell off the climbing dome, hardly any got scraped. Of the kids who fell off the little slide, tons got scraped. Case closed: you're less likely to get scraped if you play on the dome." Priya peeked at the list. "Marcus, how many kids fell off the dome?" He counted. "Um. Two hundred." "And the slide?" "Six." Lulu wrote on her clipboard: Few scrapes per fall, but SO many falls. Priya sipped her juice box. "If dome kids fall all the time, they might still get scraped more often overall." Marcus slowly put the list down.

Step 3 · Try the model question

Among all kids who fell at recess this year, a small share of dome climbers got scraped, while a large share of slide players got scraped. So a kid is less likely to get scraped by playing on the dome rather than the slide.

Suppose each choice is true. Which most weakens Marcus's argument?

Choices

Step 4 · The courtroom tale

The Ladder Lawsuit

A ladder company boasted: "Among workers who slipped on a ladder, few of ours were hurt, while many using the rival brand were hurt. So our ladder keeps you safer!" Mr. Whitfield, for the rival, rose slowly. "Your Honor, look at how often each ladder sees a slip." He held up a chart. "Workers on their ladder slip ten times as often as workers on ours." Judge Okafor studied it. "So even with fewer injuries per slip, their ladder may produce more injuries overall." Mr. Whitfield nodded. "Exactly. They only counted the people who had already slipped." The ladder company's lawyer looked down, very carefully.

Step 5 · Work the real question

Open PrepTest 131, Section 3, Question 13 in your official copy from LSAC (for example in LawHub) and read it there.

Your answer

How to apply it

Check who is in the study: only people who already had the bad event. Then check the conclusion: it speaks about overall likelihood. The gap is how often each group has the event at all. Look for the choice showing the group that looks safer actually has the event far more often. Skip choices about conditions shared by everyone or about overall low rates that hit both groups equally.